Latest BCS Projections
Written by Curt Popejoy on 11/03/2009
Most teams are down to a final 4 or 5 games of the regular season whether or not your conference has a championship game, so the National Championship picture is supposed to start coming into focus, right? Well this season, even with 7 remaining undefeated teams at the top of the newest BCS poll, the picture is starting to become clear. Here’s where I see things, my new top 8, and my latest BCS Bowl Predictions.
First, it’s all about the race to the end of the season and who will finish undefeated. Starting near the bottom, it’s not out of the question to think that Boise State, TCU, Cincinnati, and Iowa could all end up undefeated, and all of those teams will get to the BCS, and that’s assuming the Bearcats and Hawkeyes win their respective conferences.
The way the BCS breaks down, it could end up something like what I have below. You have 6 automatic bids, for conference winners of the major conferences and 4 at large bids. I think if TCU and Boise State win out, they will each get a bid, but the committee will split them up and pair them with big conference teams. The other two at-large picks are tough. Alabama gets one assuming they get past LSU this week. If not, and LSU wins out, they get a re-match with Florida, and lose again, so the SEC doesn’t get that other at-large. Then you have to think about if maybe Notre Dame can get high enough in the polls to sneak in. The other at large I give to Penn State because I am counting on them beating Ohio State this weekend. If they do, the fact they will be probably top ten in the BCS, and a great draw for a bowl game, would give them the edge over a one loss Houston or Utah. Now, if Ohio State upsets Penn State, you have to flip this, and think about Ohio State in that at large spot.
Rose Bowl, Pasadena, Calif., Jan. 1, 2010
Oregon (Pac-10 champion) vs. Iowa (Big Ten champion)
Fiesta Bowl, Glendale, Ariz., Jan. 4, 2010:
Penn State (BCS at-large) vs. Boise State (BCS at-large)
Sugar Bowl, New Orleans, La., Jan. 1, 2010
Alabama (BCS at-large) vs. Cincinnati (Big East champion)
Orange Bowl, Miami, Fla., Jan. 5, 2010
Georgia Tech (ACC champion) vs. TCU (BCS at-large)
BCS National Title Game (Rose Bowl, Pasadena, Calif., Jan. 7, 2010)
Florida (SEC champion) vs. Texas (Big 12 champion)
Make sense? I think it’s pretty cut and dry right now. All the undefeated teams get in, and a one loss Alabama and one loss Penn State. I’ll tell you this much, if I’m a BCS team, the one unit I don’t want to see is TCU. That team can beat any team in the country, period.
Last Edited: 11/03/2009